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Real options valuation applied to transmission expansion planning

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IIT-16-002A.pdf (543.3Kb)
Fecha
2016-02-01
Autor
Lumbreras Sancho, Sara
Bunn, Derek W.
Ramos Galán, Andrés
Chronopoulos, Michail
Estado
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
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Resumen
 
 
Transmission expansion planning (TEP) is a complex problem where building a new line involves a long permitting process of around 10 years. Therefore, transmission expansion must anticipate the evolution of uncertainties, particularly those derived from changes in the capacity and location of new generating facilities. As it is not possible to request permits for all possible lines, priorities must be established. We develop a formulation to use real options valuation to evaluate the potential benefit of candidate lines and thereby identify priority projects. We present a feasible representation of optionality in TEP projects and propose a tractable evaluation of option value. The proposed technique identifies the candidate transmission lines with the highest potential, as well as their main value drivers. This is implemented in a realistic large-scale case study based on the Spanish system.
 
URI
https:doi.org10.108014697688.2015.1114362
Real options valuation applied to transmission expansion planning
Tipo de Actividad
Artículos en revistas
ISSN
1469-7688
Materias/ categorías / ODS
Instituto de Investigación Tecnológica (IIT)
Palabras Clave

Power transmission; Circuit optimization; Mathematical programming
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