Fernandez- Navia, Tania Polo Muro, Eduardo Tercero Lucas, David 2024-05-30T10:23:21Z 2024-05-30T10:23:21Z 2021-09-01 0176-2680 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2021.102012 Artículos en revistas . This paper studies the causal effect of local exposure to COVID-19 on voting behaviour and electoral outcomes using evidence from the regional elections held in Spain on 12 July 2020. Exploiting the variation in exposure to COVID-19 and using a difference-in-differences identification strategy, we show that turnout was between 2.6 and 5.1 percentage points lower in municipalities that experienced positive cases of COVID-19. In addition, the results show a substantial increase in the probability of voting for nationalist parties. We discuss the idea of perceived fear being the potential mechanism driving our results. application/pdf es-ES Creative Commons Reconocimiento-NoComercial-SinObraDerivada España http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/ Revista: European Journal of Political Economy, Periodo: 1, Volumen: 69, Número: 102012, Página inicial: 1, Página final: 21 Too afraid to vote? The effects of COVID-19 on voting behaviour info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess . COVID-19ElectionsVoting behaviourTurnoutVote share