Prices and Production Costs in Aluminium Smelting in the Short and the Long Run

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Abstract

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The main objective of this study is to reflect the institutional changes that have characterized the aluminium industry as a result of the introduction of London s Metal Exchange (LME) trading. In doing this, it is shown that product prices are taken exogenously and linked to input prices via risk sharing agreements. This forces producers, in a competitive environment, to minimize costs. The latter is completed with a description of their investment decision-making mechanism, in which investment is determined by cost, and a measure of Tobin s q. The main contributions of this study are: the use of a proprietary and complete industry data set that allows one (a) to set up the short run input and output price relationships; (b) to model the optimizing behaviour of the sector via a flexible cost function (translog) allowing scale economies and non-constant factor substitution; and (c) to describe the investmentprocess that has emerged with the introduction of LME trading.
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Keywords

No procede, LME futures, aluminium, translog, cost function, impulse response

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